Tip O’Neill’s dictum notwithstanding, national issues
sometimes shape local politics in significant ways. Now is such a time in Massachusetts.
The legislature is quite late in producing a state budget
for Fiscal Year 2019, which began July 1.
A big reason for the hold-up is the inability of the branches to agree
on what if anything should be stated in the budget document regarding federal
immigration practices.
In late April, the House produced its version of the FY 19
budget; a month later, the Senate produced its version. The House’s contained nothing about immigration
while the Senate’s had a section that would prohibit state and local police
from asking a person about his immigration status. It would also prohibit agreements under which
state and county officials essentially become deputies of the federal
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency.
In early June, a six-member House-Senate budget conference
committee began working on a compromise, unified budget. As of this moment, the committee is still
chipping away at that task.
Two Thousand and Eighteen is the second year of a two-year
legislative session; the legislature must adjourn by midnight on July 31 in
Year 2 under a rule adopted long ago as part of a legislative reform
effort.
The July 31 adjournment was designed to keep legislators
from playing politics with the budget into the fall of Year 2, when legislators
who wish to remain in office must stand for re-election. (Reps and senators have two-year terms. Legislative elections are held in
even-numbered years.)
In Year 2 there’s great pressure on the legislature to get a
completed budget to the governor early enough to give legislators time to override
gubernatorial vetoes and address sections of the budget the governor sends back
to them with recommendations for changes.
Once the full House and full Senate have approved a
conference committee budget, the governor has up to 10 days to review it, veto
any items he wishes, and send back individual budget sections with recommended
changes.
Overriding vetoes is straightforward, whereas governor-legislature
disagreements over the objectives and nuances of various sections are complicated.
Sometimes the legislature rejects the governor’s suggestions
altogether and insists on its original language. Other times the legislature redrafts its original
language but still takes a slant markedly different from the governor’s.
All of that drafting and redrafting and all that
back-and-forth end up requiring two rounds of gubernatorial review of the
legislature’s budget, each of which may take up to 10 days.
If a governor wants to run the clock on the legislature, he
or she can keep the budget in play for 20 days.
Anticipating that possibility, the legislature aims to
produce a unified budget at least 21 days before it must adjourn in Year 2 so
that it will have at least one day available at the end for veto overrides and
final language changes.
Thus has July 10 (four days from now) become the drop-dead
date for a legislative budget in Year 2.
Members of the budget conference committee this year are
Senators Karen Spilka of Ashland, Joan Lovely of Salem and Vinny deMacedo of
Plymouth, and Representatives Jeffrey Sanchez of Boston, Stephen Kulik of Worthington
and Todd Smola of Warren. As the Senate
and House chairs of Ways and Means, Spilka and Sanchez exercise the most sway
over the process.
To put it mildly, a lot of hard-edged negotiating and
old-fashioned horse trading goes on in legislative conference committees, and
nowhere more so than in the budget conference committee. It’s the toughest conference of all. Conferees are expected to dig in and push hard
to preserve their branch’s priorities in the final budget package, in the textual
ways their branch has expressed those priorities.
But almost certainly Chairman Sanchez is not taking a stand against the Senate
language on immigration status inquiries and ICE virtual-deputy-making because,
on principle, he favors the Senate approach to these issues, and because a
large proportion of the electorate in his Jamaica Plain district is strongly
pro-immigrant and vehemently anti-Trump.
In an indication of how deeply this subject resonates in
Sanchez’s district, his opponent for re-election in the September primary, Nika
Elugardo, who is further to the left on the political spectrum than he, took
the unusual step this past Tuesday of showing up at the door of House Ways and
Means to try to hang it tightly around Sanchez’s neck.
Sanchez “has the power to send this to a vote,” Elugardo
told the reporters she’d summoned to the scene, implying that, if Sanchez so
desired, he alone could ensure that the Senate immigration language would be in
the budget coming out of conference, which would force every legislator to vote
on it when the budget was put to floor votes.
The rules do not allow the conference budget to be amended on the
floor. Straight up-or-down votes are
required.
Elugardo, who once worked as a senior policy advisor to
Senator Sonia Chang-Diaz of Boston, asserted at the State House that Sanchez
has the ability to make Governor Charlie Baker “say yes or no” on the Senate
immigration language if Sanchez were only willing to insist on the language
being in the budget. This seemed an
argument without a point, as the governor has already stated his intention to
veto the language if it survives the conference process.
Tellingly, Speaker Robert DeLeo was quoted by the State House News
Service this week saying there’s no consensus in the House on this issue. Having to vote on it must be a losing electoral
proposition, one way or the other, for
too many reps.
My guess is the budget conference committee, warily eyeing
the fall elections, will finesse the matter for the sake of most House members,
not just of Sanchez.
If, for example, there is language in the conference budget
next week calling for the formation of a special commission to examine all
state options for resisting Trump administration immigration enforcement
actions and for the writing of an official report on those measures within,
say, 45 days, that is what has happened.